The Minnesota Vikings remain in the mix for the NFC North division lead when they take on the Chicago Bears in Week 12.

Caleb Williams and the Bears have dropped four straight games to fall to 4-6 on the season, and are set to be a home underdog Sunday against Minnesota.

Minnesota hasn’t looked as dominant as it did early in the season with Sam Darnold throwing five picks in his last three games, but the Vikings are still 8-2 and riding a three-game winning streak heading into this matchup.

Using the latest odds and analysis, I try to predict the final result of this matchup, which will hopefully give punters an idea of ​​which side – or overall – to bet on Sunday.

Odds via DraftKing’s Sportsbook.

Spread

Moneyline

Total

Minnesota is 7-3 against the spread this season, but these are two of the best bases in the league – hence the low total. UNDER has hit in seven of 10 regular season games for both of those teams.

SI Betting’s NFL betting insider Iain MacMillan thinks the UNDER is the play in this game, and he broke down why in his Road to 272 column – where he picks every NFL game, every week:

The Vikings offense has shown some red flags of late, which makes me nervous to put points on them against a defense as stout as the Bears. Instead, I will back UNDER at 39.5. These two defenses have been two of the best in the NFL this season. The Vikings lead the league in opponent EPA per game and the Bears come in seventh. They also rank first and eighth respectively in success rate.

The Bears biggest strength on defense is their red zone efficiency, holding teams from scoring touchdowns on just 40.63% of red zone trips against them, the best mark in the NFL. If the Vikings are held to field goals instead of touchdowns, the UNDER has a great chance to punt.

We all know by now what a struggle the Bears offense has had this season, averaging just 4.5 yards per snap, second fewest in the league. The Vikings offense has also trended in the wrong direction, now ranking just 20th in EPA per game since Week 8.

Even if Chicago finally found the end zone in Week 11 after sacking Shane Waldron, I don’t think I can trust this offense to put up enough points to win this game — even at home.

Final score prediction: Vikings 17, Bears 13

The odds are updated periodically and may change.

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